Money is flowing in, but the price is stagnant…XRP's unusual signal

▲ Ripple (XRP) ©

Despite institutional fund inflows and a recovery in the derivatives market, XRP has failed to break the $1.40 barrier, placing it at the center of a 'stagnation zone' debate.

According to cryptocurrency media Watcher.Guru on April 19 (local time), XRP (Ripple) has repeatedly tested the $1.40 resistance level but failed to break through, continuing to trade sideways around $1.35. While bullish factors such as ETF fund inflows and increased open interest are accumulating, the price is not reflecting them.

Actual fund flows are positive. According to CoinGlass data, the XRP ETF has seen net inflows for three consecutive days recently, with $10.9 million and $1.46 million flowing in each day. Total cumulative inflows amount to $1.23 billion, with an average asset under management of approximately $966 million. However, after $1 billion flowed in within four weeks immediately following the ETF launch in November 2025, an outflow of approximately $130 million occurred in March, weakening the upward momentum, which is cited as the background for the current price stagnation.

The derivatives market also shows signs of recovery. Open interest has increased to $2.47 billion, indicating that some retail investor funds are re-entering. However, this is still low compared to the past peak of $10.94 billion in July 2025, and is considered insufficient to replicate the momentum that saw the price rise to $3.66 at that time.

Technical trends are also limited. XRP is facing resistance below the 50-day exponential moving average of $1.41, the 100-day moving average of $1.56, and the 200-day moving average of $1.81. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 51 indicates a neutral zone, suggesting a sideways trend without a clear direction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows a slightly positive signal, but upward movements are consistently blocked by overhead supply pressure.

The future direction depends on whether it breaks through $1.41. A breakout above this level could open a path to $1.56, $1.73, and further to $1.81. Conversely, if resistance holds, a retest of $1.32 is possible, with $1.30 expected to act as a key support level. In the market, the passage of the US cryptocurrency market structure bill, the Clarity Act, is identified as a key variable for breaking out of the trading range.

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