XRP Rebounds 46% from Summer Low... Forecasts for '2.4 Dollars' Next Year Emerge

▲ XRP/AI-generated image

XRP has rebounded 46% from its summer low, recovering the $1.53 level. However, it is still down 58% compared to its 2025 peak. An analysis suggests that a massive sell wall positioned above and new supply pressure could hinder further upside.

According to the US financial analysis outlet 24/7 Wall St. on September 28 (local time), XRP surged 46% from $1.04 to $1.53 over the past three months. However, it is still significantly below its peak of $3.67 recorded in July 2025. On an annual basis for 2026, it also fell 17.3%. Year-over-year, it plunged 45.8%, showing a much steeper decline than Bitcoin (BTC)'s annual drop of 23.2%.

The outlet cited the break-even selling sentiment of investors who bought at highs above $2.75 in the past as a key inhibitory factor. Ripple's regular release of escrowed XRP was also pointed out as a major negative factor. Based on the current circulating supply of 62.9 billion XRP, the market capitalization is approximately $97 billion. This accounts for 3.3% of the total cryptocurrency market. For every $0.1 increase in XRP's price, approximately $6.3 billion in new buying funds are required. On the other hand, Ripple releases up to 1 billion XRP from escrow on the 1st of every month, creating a new supply burden of approximately $1.5 billion.

24/7 Wall St. presented three scenarios for XRP's price forecast in 2027. The most probable Base Range scenario is between $1.60 and $2.40. This range could be entered if XRP breaks through and settles above the key resistance level of $1.70 on a monthly closing basis. In this case, a $1,000 asset purchased at $1.53 could increase to between $1,050 and $1,570.

Conversely, the Conservative Range scenario, which assumes the rebound falters, is between $1 and $1.25. Analysis suggests that if XRP falls below the September low of $1.25 or the August low of $0.99, it could return to its summer bottom. An Optimistic Range scenario, assuming a rapid expansion of the entire cryptocurrency market, is presented as $3.04 to $3.67. However, to achieve this, the market capitalization would need to more than double to $231 billion.

Despite the short-term rebound, the massive sell-off pressure from investors looking to recoup their initial investment and the recurring monthly supply shocks are limiting the upside. The market's attention is focused on whether XRP can clearly break through the $1.70 resistance on a monthly basis and lay the groundwork for a mid-to-long-term recovery towards $2.40.

[Article Key Summary]

-XRP rebounded 46% from its low to $1.53, but is still down 58% from its 2025 peak.

-A $0.1 increase requires $6.3 billion in funds, but Ripple's monthly escrow supply of up to $1.5 billion is suppressing the upside.

-24/7 Wall St. provided 2027 forecasts: Base Range $1.60-$2.40, Conservative Range $1-$1.25, Optimistic Range $3.04-$3.67.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*