How many times will Solana rise in 5 years? The possibility of overtaking Ethereum

▲ Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL) / ChatGPT generated image ©

A forecast suggests that if the asset tokenization market grows as expected, Solana (SOL) could record a value several times higher than its current value by 2031. However, an analysis indicates that to overtake Ethereum (ETH), it still needs to close a significant gap in the stablecoin and tokenized asset markets.

According to the investment media The Motley Fool on September 5 (local time), Solana is expanding its presence in the tokenized stock market, leveraging its fast settlement speed and low transaction costs of less than 1 cent. As of September 3, the value of tokenized stocks on the Solana network was $503.1 million, an approximately 9-fold increase from $56.9 million a year ago. Its market share also rose from 18.2% to 19.3% compared to the same period in 2025.

Tokenization is a technology that records real-world asset ownership information as blockchain tokens, allowing them to be managed and traded on cryptocurrency networks. Citi Institute projected that 3% of US listed stocks would be tokenized by 2030, with the related market reaching $2.6 trillion. As the current volume of tradable tokenized stocks is only $2.6 billion, an analysis suggests that massive funds could flow into the blockchain ecosystem in the coming years.

Solana distinguished itself in the second quarter of this year by processing approximately 95% of the total tokenized stock trading volume through decentralized exchanges. Although this proportion has significantly decreased since then, if it maintains its competitiveness as a platform for attracting tokenized capital and stock trading, the SOL price also has the potential to rise significantly over the next few years. At the time of writing, Solana's price was recorded at $101.77, with a market capitalization of approximately $60 billion.

However, in the overall tokenized asset market, the gap with Ethereum remains significant. As of September 3, among the $38.6 billion worth of tokenized assets, Ethereum accounted for 45%, while Solana's share was only 10.5%. Ethereum is also ahead in tokenized bonds and stablecoin foundations, and major financial institutions and fintech companies such as JPMorgan Chase, Franklin Templeton, VanEck, State Street, PayPal, and Visa are already pursuing tokenization projects on Ethereum.

The Motley Fool predicted that Solana's success over the next five years would depend on how well it establishes new partnerships with financial institutions and expands its base of tokenized stocks and other assets. The baseline forecast is that if it maintains even a slightly lower market share than currently, the value of SOL could be several times higher by the end of 2031. However, to achieve a greater surge that surpasses Ethereum, it must overcome its disadvantages in the stablecoin and tokenized bond markets and fend off competition from other rival networks.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*