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Conditions for recapturing $3?… '4 variables' needed for XRP rebound
▲ Ripple (XRP) ©Go Da-sol
An analysis suggests that for XRP (Ripple) to recover to $3 again, multiple conditions must be met, including expectations of interest rate cuts, easing of macroeconomic uncertainties, a Bitcoin (BTC) bull market, and the passage of the US crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act.
According to cryptocurrency media Watcher.Guru on July 5 (local time), XRP has fallen by about 70% since reaching its all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. With its current price slightly above $1, the media diagnosed that an overall improvement in market conditions is necessary for it to recover to $3 again.
The media cited the settlement of the lawsuit between the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple as the primary factor behind XRP's bull run in 2025. This settlement significantly resolved regulatory uncertainties, and a US court ruled that XRP purchases by individual investors were not subject to securities laws, but purchases by institutional investors were. Additionally, the overall bullish sentiment in the market, with major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and BNB all setting new all-time highs, also supported XRP's rise.
However, this bull market did not last long. The media explained that from late 2025, as macroeconomic instability and geopolitical tensions increased, investors began to withdraw funds from the cryptocurrency market, and market sentiment further deteriorated after the conflict between the US and Iran. It also analyzed that rising inflation pushed the XRP price down to around $1.
The media emphasized that for XRP to recover to $3 again, the conditions that led to its previous rise must be re-established. First, an environment where inflation slows down, allowing the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, must be created; interest rate cuts can act as a factor stimulating preference for risky assets. It also predicted that if a general bull market, led by Bitcoin, resumes, XRP is likely to follow suit and rise.
Furthermore, the possibility of the US crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, being legislated soon was also presented as a notable variable. The media expects that this bill aims to provide additional regulatory clarity and investor protection to the cryptocurrency industry, and if the regulatory environment improves, investor sentiment could recover, which would positively impact XRP.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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