"Will the 915-day hell begin again?"...XRP volatility disappears, warning of long-term sideways movement until 2028

▲ XRP

An analysis suggests that XRP has entered its lowest volatility range in years. It is evaluated that if past trends repeat, the XRP market could recall the 915-day sideways phase that occurred before its breakthrough in 2024.

U.Today reported on the 9th that the XRP market has entered an abnormal stagnant phase, and the current price movement is visually similar to the long-term sideways trend that continued from 2022 to 2024. At that time, XRP moved within a narrow range for at least 900 days without a clear trend, which later led to a strong upward trend in late 2024 and early 2025.

According to the report, the past accumulation phase on the weekly chart lasted for 915 days, from May 2022 to November 2024. U.Today explained that the current XRP price movement appears to be compressing again. If the assumption that past trends repeat mathematically is correct, an analysis suggests that the next strong volatility breakout could be delayed until August 2028.

Currently, XRP is evaluated to be trapped between the $1.30 support level and the $1.50 resistance level. Volatility remains at its lowest level in several months, and a growing debate in the market questions whether this stagnation is a sign of accumulation or waning investor interest.

However, U.Today pointed out that factors different from two years ago could potentially end XRP's long-term dormancy early. Unlike in 2022, funds flowing into XRP spot ETFs could act as a liquidity buffer limiting price declines, and the vote on the US cryptocurrency market structure bill, expected at the end of May, was also mentioned as a catalyst not present during the previous accumulation period.

Furthermore, the fact that Bollinger Band compression has reached a critical level in the weekly timeframe was also presented as a variable. U.Today analyzed that such extreme low-volatility periods have historically ended with strong directional movements rather than prolonged sideways trading.

While charts suggest the possibility of long-term stagnation extending until 2028, the current market environment is evaluated to have much tighter catalysts than in 2022. U.Today presented a breakthrough and stabilization at $1.55 as a key signal that XRP has exited its accumulation phase. Until then, the XRP market is likely to continue trading in a low-volatility environment.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*