Bitcoin, the Hidden Trap After a 20% Surge...Is it a Real Bull Market or a Trap?

▲ Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin (BTC) surged by about 20% from its low, stimulating market expectations, but it is not yet certain whether this rebound is the beginning of a full-fledged bull market or, conversely, a trap.

According to Benzinga on April 22 (local time), Bitcoin recovered to the $76,000 level, rising about 20% since its February low. This rebound occurred despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, and the market is currently considered to have entered a critical turning point.

Some analysts interpret this rise as a sign of a shift in market structure. With institutional capital inflow and improved investor sentiment converging, there's a possibility that it could lead to a new upward trend beyond a simple rebound. In particular, the steady inflow of buying pressure during the recent price recovery is considered a positive sign.

On the other hand, caution is also significant. Given that similar rebounds in past cycles were repeatedly followed by further declines, some view the current trend as a typical 'relief rally.' There's a warning that the market could repeat a pattern of attracting investors with a short-term rebound only to fall again.

In particular, macroeconomic uncertainties remain a variable. With geopolitical tensions, monetary policy direction, and liquidity conditions simultaneously influencing market direction, analysis suggests it's difficult to conclude a trend reversal based solely on a short-term rise.

This rebound is assessed as a movement formed in a phase where expectations for a bullish reversal and caution are in direct conflict. The market has entered a critical turning point that will determine whether the upward trend continues.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*