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▲ U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), Bond Market / AI Generated Image
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Global Fixed Income at BlackRock (BLK), the world's largest asset manager, is reducing his stock holdings and shifting funds into high-quality bonds. His assessment is that high-quality bonds offering an annual return of 7-8% are more attractive than the expected stock returns of 10-12%.
According to virtual asset media outlet BeInCrypto on September 28 (local time), CIO Rieder, who manages approximately $2.4 trillion in assets, appeared on Yahoo Finance and clearly stated his preference for bonds. Rieder rated the current attractiveness of stock investments as 'B-minus (B-)', suggesting an expected return of 10% to 12%. In contrast, he pointed out that income funds paying 7.2% annually with a credit rating of 'A-minus (A-)' or high-quality bonds paying 7% to 8% are superior investment alternatives relative to risk.
The rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate hikes have been identified as key drivers behind the change in asset allocation strategy. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surpassed the 5% mark, reaching 5.167% on September 26. With the Fed raising the benchmark interest rate from 3.75% to 4.00%, CIO Rieder warned that "every 1 percentage point increase in the benchmark interest rate adds approximately $130 billion to $150 billion to the U.S. government's annual debt interest costs." He explained that bond yields continue to soar amid accumulating government fiscal burdens.
The reduction in real estate and Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) holdings also continued. He stated that investments in mortgage bonds were reduced as the U.S. 30-year mortgage rate approached 7.45%, showing signs of a cooling housing market. CIO Rieder predicted that prolonged high interest rates and the possibility of further Fed rate hikes could create strong headwinds for stocks and risk assets in general.
The sharp rise in bond yields has also been identified as a burden on the cryptocurrency market. With risk-free Treasury yields exceeding 5% and high-quality corporate bond yields approaching 8%, there is an analysis that venture funding and new token issuance in the virtual asset industry could shrink. Concerns are raised about the ripple effects of liquidity absorption, such as a slowdown in decentralized finance (DeFi) deposited assets and centralized exchange (CEX) trading volumes.
As the attractive returns of high-quality bonds, reaching 8% annually, become prominent, the pace of portfolio restructuring among Wall Street's big players is accelerating. In a high-interest rate environment, the shift of funds into safe assets is expected to act as a key factor pressuring the liquidity of risk asset markets, including stocks and virtual assets.
[Article Key Summary]
-BlackRock (BLK) CIO Rick Rieder reduced stock holdings to purchase high-quality bonds yielding 7-8%.
-With the 10-year Treasury yield soaring to 5.167%, he warned that a 1 percentage point hike by the Fed would cause annual national interest costs to surge by $150 billion.
-The soaring bond yields are absorbing investment liquidity from stocks and virtual assets across the board, emerging as a headwind for risk assets.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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