As the U.S. Senate prepares for its first procedural vote on the Clarity Act for full session deliberation, prediction market traders are seeing the highest probability of the bill's passage in weeks. According to CoinDesk, Polymarket traders are predicting a 30% chance of the Clarity Act passing this year. This is a significant increase from 12% in early September and the highest level since early August. For Kalshi, the probability of the Clarity Act passing before October 1, 2027 (local time) surged from 26% on the 10th to a maximum of 64%. It currently remains at around 53%.
