Ripple (XRP) falls below both 50-day and 200-day lines…Will the $1 line collapse by late August?

▲ XRP, bear market/AI generated image ©

As an artificial intelligence prediction model presented an average price of $1.01 for XRP (Ripple) at the end of August, attention is focused on the possibility of a collapse of the key psychological level of $1.

According to the cryptocurrency specialized media Finbold on August 1 (local time), Finbold's AI agent predicted that XRP would trade at an average of $1.01 by August 31. This is approximately 4.47% lower than the current price of $1.06, suggesting the possibility of limited fluctuations around the $1 mark throughout August.

This forecast utilized four large language models: Claude Opus 4.8, Gemini 3.5 Flash, GPT-5.6 Sol, and Grok 4.5. The analysis also incorporated the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) index, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages.

By model, GPT-5.6 Sol was the most optimistic, suggesting $1.04, which is 2.07% lower than the current price. Claude Opus 4.8 and Gemini 3.5 Flash both predicted $1.02. The most pessimistic, Grok 4.5, projected a 7.25% drop to $0.99, raising the possibility of a break below the $1 level.

Technical indicators lean towards a bearish trend without a clear direction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has flattened in recent weeks, indicating a slowdown in momentum, and the Stochastic Oscillator remains in the neutral zone after recovering from oversold conditions in early summer. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also at a neutral level of 41.36, but selling pressure is somewhat dominant.

At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.06, down approximately 0.8% over 24 hours and more than 2% over the past week. The price is below both the 50-day Simple Moving Average of $1.11 and the 200-day line of $1.36, continuing a medium-to-long-term bearish trend. The model weighted the possibility of sideways movement around $1 more heavily than a sharp collapse, but predicted that upside potential would be limited without strong bullish momentum to decisively break key resistance levels or unique positive catalysts for XRP.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*