Ripple (XRP), can it go to $3 again? The key condition is 'this'

XRP, conditions for reclaiming $3? Regulations, interest rates, and Bitcoin are key variables.

▲ XRP/AI generated image ©

An analysis suggests that for XRP (Ripple) to recover to $3 again, it needs to be simultaneously supported by an improved regulatory environment, macroeconomic stability, and a Bitcoin bull market. It is assessed that the key factors that led to its all-time high last year must be re-established for the upward trend to be replicated.

According to crypto media outlet Watcher.Guru on July 4 (local time), XRP fell by about 70% to around $1 after reaching an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. The outlet stated that for XRP to return to a bullish trend and recover to $3, the major factors that drove last year's bull market need to re-form.

The outlet cited the settlement of the lawsuit between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple as the biggest catalyst for XRP's bull run in 2025. This settlement significantly resolved regulatory uncertainty surrounding XRP, and a U.S. court ruled that XRP purchases by individual investors are not subject to securities law, but purchases by institutional investors are. Furthermore, a general bull market where major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and BNB all hit new all-time highs supported XRP's rise, it explained.

However, this upward trend did not last long. The outlet reported that from late 2025, investors began withdrawing funds from the cryptocurrency market due to macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, and the market environment further deteriorated after the conflict between the U.S. and Iran. It analyzed that as inflation rose due to the uncertain global economic environment, XRP fell to just over $1.

The outlet emphasized that these negative factors must be resolved for XRP to reach $3 again. This means that inflation must slow down, leading the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, and consequently, risk asset preference must recover. Additionally, a Bitcoin-led bull market needs to resume, and if the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, is passed, enhancing regulatory clarity and investor protection, improved investor sentiment along with further upside for XRP can be expected, the outlet predicted.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*