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As XRP has shown signs of rebound or bullish reversal every July since 2020, market attention is focused on whether the same seasonal trend will recur this year after a sharp drop in June.
According to The Crypto Basic, a cryptocurrency specialized media outlet, on July 2 (local time), XRP has never recorded a negative monthly candle in July since 2020. The outlet reported that XRP recorded negative monthly candles for 8 out of 9 months since October 2025, and with a drop of approximately 22% in June 2026, the possibility of a July rebound is once again gaining attention.
Past trends were presented as a key basis supporting expectations for a July rebound. XRP fell by 13.55% in a bear market in June 2020 but surged by over 48% in July of the same year, marking its largest monthly increase in nearly two years. The upward trend continued until it reached a high of $1.96 in April 2021.
A similar trend appeared in 2021. XRP fell by 34.77% in May 2021 and 32.3% in June, then rebounded by 6.91% in July, followed by an additional 59% increase in August. In 2022, due to the collapse of the Terra ecosystem, it plunged by 59% from April to June, but recovered by 14% in July, alleviating downward pressure.
From 2023 to 2025, July acted as a turning point for XRP's trend, beyond a simple rebound. In July 2023, Judge Analisa Torres ruled in the Ripple lawsuit that XRP itself was not a security, and immediately after this decision, XRP surged by 47% in July, reaching around $0.94. In July 2024, it rose by 31%, becoming a turning point that broke the long-term sideways trend that had continued since July 2022.
In July 2025, XRP also ended a short sideways movement in the $2 to $3 range and rebounded, reaching an all-time high of $3.66. The media outlet calculated that XRP's average July increase since 2020 is 30%. In July 2026, it recovered by over 2% from $1.03 to $1.07, and if the 30% increase is replicated, it could rise to $1.33, regaining the $1.30 level.
However, the outlet cautioned that past performance does not guarantee the same trend in the future. XRP's bullish pattern in July is a factor that raises rebound expectations among market participants, but to reverse the long-term downward trend that has continued since October 2025, stronger buying pressure and confirmation of a trend reversal are needed, rather than simple seasonality. Ultimately, this July, XRP has entered a critical phase where it must determine its direction between the repeated rebound formula and the long-term bearish structure.
[Article Key Summary]
-XRP has shown a rebound or bullish reversal trend every July since 2020, with an average July increase of 30%.
-In June 2026, XRP fell by approximately 22%, but in July, it recovered by over 2% from $1.03 to $1.07.
-If past patterns repeat, XRP could rise to $1.33, but the outlet stated that past performance does not guarantee future trends.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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