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▲ Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of a past sharp decline, losing upward momentum as it is blocked by the psychological resistance level of $80,000 and key moving averages.
According to crypto media outlet Benzinga on May 12 (local time), Bitcoin has failed to break through key moving averages located around the $80,000 mark recently, continuing its sideways trend. Technical analysts diagnosed that the slowdown in buying interest at this point is very similar to the starting point of past bearish cycles. Historically, when Bitcoin failed to break strong moving average resistance in one go, a price correction accompanied by large-scale liquidations followed.
Moving averages are indicators representing the average purchase price and psychological support levels of market participants, currently forming a massive selling wall around $80,000. Bitcoin's consecutive three-day decline in highs within this range suggests that the strength of buying forces has been exhausted. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also turning downwards from the overbought zone, signaling a short-term peak. As Bitcoin's momentum falters after hitting technical barriers, investor anxiety is reaching its peak.
Benzinga reminded that in past bull markets, when Bitcoin failed to break through major round number resistance levels like $80,000, an average decline of 15% to 20% occurred. Like the adage that history repeats itself, there is a high possibility that profit-taking by whale investors will pour out this time as well. In particular, sideways trading without significant volume is identified as a typical characteristic of a bull trap, raising concerns that a pattern of luring individual investors before a sharp drop could recur.
Changes in the macroeconomic environment are also exacerbating price pressure. The phenomenon of funds exiting risky assets ahead of inflation indicator announcements has also been observed in the Bitcoin spot ETF market. Failure to firmly establish above $80,000 could rapidly cool down overall market sentiment, leading to a chain reaction of declines even in the altcoin market. With Bitcoin's dominance stagnating, a drop in the leading cryptocurrency poses a significant risk of escalating into a liquidity crisis across the entire market.
Currently, whether Bitcoin can defend the $78,000 support level is expected to be a watershed moment determining its future direction. Warnings are emerging that if this level breaks, a vertical drop to the psychological bottom line of $72,000 could occur. Investors are increasing their cash holdings rather than making additional purchases, maintaining a wait-and-see attitude to observe the market's bottoming process.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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