Will XRP Rise Again? It Depends on Regulations and Macro Variables

▲ Ripple (XRP) ©

The price of XRP (Ripple) is largely influenced by regulations and the macro environment, rather than simple supply and demand, with regulatory clarity analyzed as a key turning point.

According to cryptocurrency media outlet Watcher.Guru on May 2 (local time), XRP has shown high volatility, falling by approximately 62% since reaching $3.65 last July. Over a period of more than 10 years, the price has repeatedly surged and plummeted, with regulatory risks and market sentiment underlying these movements.

The biggest turning point was in 2020 when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against Ripple, alleging the sale of unregistered securities. The legal uncertainty, which lasted for about four years, significantly dampened investor sentiment, and XRP failed to establish a clear upward trend even during the 2021 bull market.

The situation reversed in 2025 when a U.S. court ruled that XRP sales to individual investors did not constitute securities. However, it was also stated that transactions involving institutional investors would be considered securities. Following this ruling, investor sentiment improved, and XRP recorded a high of $3.65 in July of the same year.

However, the macro environment subsequently held it back again. As geopolitical tensions and market uncertainties expanded, investors shifted to risk-averse strategies, and despite interest rate cuts and the launch of XRP spot ETFs, the price upward momentum did not continue.

Ultimately, while regulatory clarity could act as a catalyst for XRP's price increase, it is analyzed that geopolitical risks and macro environmental impacts have a greater effect than interest rates or policies. The media assessed that XRP volatility is likely to continue in the future, depending on market sentiment and global variables.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*