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▲ Virtual Assets
As the virtual asset market goes through a downturn, the criteria investors trust are rapidly changing. The market is being restructured into a system where only experts who present verifiable analysis and consistent logic survive, rather than those with a simple follower count or influence.
According to the cryptocurrency specialized media The Crypto Basic on April 29 (local time), market volatility is serving as a test not only for asset prices but also for the credibility of analysts. Experts who maintained their audience even during the bear market are those who transparently disclosed the basis of their judgments and made it possible for their insights to be verified through subsequent results. It is especially noted that comparing the statements made during periods when major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP formed their highs and lows clearly reveals an analyst's skill.
The 2022 bear market became an opportunity to reveal the true nature of so-called 'market speakers'. Some accounts that championed optimism during the bull market went silent or changed direction without mentioning their previous predictions when the market turned. In contrast, on-chain data analysts, protocol developers, and institutional traders who publicly acknowledged their errors maintained trust and survived in the market. The analysis suggests that an expert's value is determined by how they respond when their predictions are wrong.
Given that the virtual asset industry lacks a certified qualification system, a simple reach does not necessarily equate to expertise. In such an environment, the selection of speakers for major conferences and institutional Web3 events acts as a form of verification. A notable characteristic is that offline events apply much higher standards of trust than online platforms, as accountability for statements is inherent.
Experts who survived the bear market commonly present analyses based on specific indicators and clearly define the conditions under which their forecasts might change. They also do not equate price direction with personal credibility and show a willingness to revise their judgments if conditions are met. Conversely, there is a high probability that a large number of new voices, not previously vetted, will emerge once the bull market resumes.
Ultimately, as the market matures, investors are focusing on evidence and consistency rather than the intensity of the message. Even amidst major issues like Ripple's mergers and acquisitions or regulatory changes, the trend towards data-driven analysis rather than mere anticipation is strengthening. Trust is only secured through logic accumulated and verification processes endured during bear markets.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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