XRP Projected to Surge 53% if it Breaks $1.45… $83.9 Million in Fund Inflows in April Alone

▲ XRP (Ripple) ETF ©

Behind the XRP (Ripple) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) market, which has recently experienced price corrections, massive institutional capital is quietly flowing in, setting a record for the largest monthly fund inflow since late 2025. With unusual accumulation by whales and a technical breakthrough of a large symmetrical triangle pattern imminent, market tension is rising, suggesting that an explosive price surge of over 50% could occur soon.

According to investment specialized media TradingNews on April 29 (local time), the Volatility Shares XRP Spot ETF (XRPI) traded down 2.38% to $7.58 during the day, and the Rex-Osprey XRP Spot ETF (XRPR) fell 2.21% to $11.05, fully reflecting the recent downward pressure. However, contrary to the weakness in fund prices, the XRP spot ETF saw a significant net inflow of $83.9 million in April alone, completely reversing the $31.16 million outflow in March. Notably, funds poured in for 11 out of the recent 13 trading days, accumulating a total of $82.42 million, and the total assets under management for the five major spot products approached $1.38 billion, demonstrating strong institutional buying.

This institutional interest is spreading beyond the United States to the entire world. Global XRP Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) attracted $25 million in funds over the past week, recording a cumulative net inflow of $148 million this year, expanding the total global assets under management to approximately $2.6 billion. On-chain data also supports these claims of institution-led accumulation. On global exchange Binance, large transactions withdrawing over 1 million XRP accounted for approximately 60% of the total outflow value, clearly indicating a typical bullish precursor where large whales absorb selling pressure in the spot market and quietly move their holdings off exchanges.

The underlying XRP spot price, which forms the basis of the fund, is currently trading between $1.36 and $1.40, consolidating energy towards the apex of a large symmetrical triangle pattern. The key support level of $1.40 is a strong defensive line where the 20-day exponential moving average and the 200-week exponential moving average converge. If XRP decisively breaks the upper resistance line of $1.45 on a daily closing basis, it could surpass the 100-day exponential moving average at $1.52 and the 200-day exponential moving average at $1.75 in sequence, surging up to $2.15, an approximate 53% increase from the current price. While the Relative Strength Index remains neutral at 49, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates continuous momentum improvement.

The next 96 hours are fraught with significant macroeconomic and event-driven variables that will determine XRP's short-term fate. While the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, macroeconomic uncertainties such as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's press conference remarks and a surge in oil prices triggered by the Iran conflict could sway the direction of the entire risk asset market. Furthermore, if major announcements, such as the growth of the real-world asset ecosystem to $3 billion, are made at the XRP Las Vegas 2026 conference scheduled for this Thursday and Friday, it could act as a catalyst for an explosive rally. However, if the event proves to be insubstantial, there is also a risk of a downward correction, reminiscent of past "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenarios.

Experts analyze that the current prices of XRP spot and related funds are severely undervalued compared to the scale of institutional fund inflows and fundamentals. They advise actively utilizing opportunities to buy when the $1.45 resistance level of the symmetrical triangle pattern is confirmed to break, or when fund prices adjust near structural support levels. Although the market is still exploring its direction and trading sideways, the improving trends in on-chain data, fund flows, and the regulatory environment clearly point to an upward movement. Thus, if macroeconomic events are digested smoothly, XRP could emerge as the strongest leader in the May market.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*