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▲ Bitcoin (BTC)/AI generated image
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped back below $75,000 immediately after recovering to $78,000, leading to a warning that excessive short positions in the U.S. stock market could shake the cryptocurrency market as well.
According to Bitcoinist on May 27 (local time), Bitcoin experienced a sudden pullback after approaching $78,000, falling back below $75,000. Bitcoinist reported that recent changes in the U.S. stock market could act as additional downward pressure on Bitcoin in the future.
A market analyst operating under the name XWIN Japan on the CryptoQuant platform warned that the trend of increasing short positions across U.S. stocks could have a greater impact on Bitcoin than investors anticipate. He explained that while U.S. stock short positions have expanded to historically high levels, this cannot be viewed simply as a bearish signal.
Institutional investors are analyzed to be increasing short positions for hedging purposes while maintaining large long positions. Bitcoinist reported that hedge funds' total leverage has risen to around 293%, and the S&P500's redemption period and dollar-denominated short exposure have also reached all-time highs. The market index appears stable, but the internal vulnerabilities are growing.
The main background for this trend has been identified as the concentration of funds in mega-cap stocks related to artificial intelligence. Funds continue to move into a few large-cap stocks, while short positions are increasing in weaker sectors and small-to-mid-cap stocks. Bitcoinist analyzed that this structure creates a seemingly stable stock market externally, but internally fosters both defensive leverage and vulnerability.
XWIN Japan cited that Bitcoin moved in tandem with U.S. stocks during past periods of major risk aversion. During the COVID-19 crash in 2020, Bitcoin fell significantly along with stocks, and from 2020 to 2022, Bitcoin and the S&P500 generally moved in the same direction. However, after 2025, while the S&P500 showed a relatively stable trend, Bitcoin exhibited a differentiated structure with significant volatility driven by spot buying pressure and ETF inflows.
Bitcoinist reported that Bitcoin is transforming from a pure risk asset into a hybrid asset class sensitive to macro liquidity. The analysis suggests that if future U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) easing, dollar weakness, and a resumption of ETF inflows align, Bitcoin could emerge not merely as an asset that correlates with tech stocks, but as a secondary destination for liquidity.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and is not responsible for investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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