XRP at $200, is it really possible...? "Market must grow 5x first"

▲ XRP, Wall Street/AI generated image

An analysis has emerged that the forecast of XRP reaching $200 is not a simple chart rebound, but a super-large scenario that is only possible if the entire cryptocurrency market grows to a scale it has never reached before.

According to NewsBTC, a cryptocurrency specialized media outlet, on May 27 (local time), market expert Sam Daodu analyzed that for XRP to reach $200, key conditions must align simultaneously, not incrementally. Daodu pointed out that the gap between the current price and the $200 target is much larger than the market perceives.

Daodu cited XRP's circulating supply as the first hurdle. XRP's circulating supply exceeds 61.8 billion units, and if each unit is valued at $200, the total value would be approximately $12.4 trillion. This is about five times the current total value of the cryptocurrency market, which is $2.6 trillion. Daodu stated that a $12.4 trillion XRP market capitalization cannot be established within a $2.6 trillion market, thus the entire cryptocurrency market must expand to an unprecedented level.

A preceding bull run for Bitcoin (BTC) was also presented as a prerequisite. Daodu explained that past major XRP rallies did not precede Bitcoin but followed after Bitcoin's bull run. He analyzed that large-scale fund rotation into XRP is only possible if institutional funds are already allocated to Bitcoin and Bitcoin shows a sustained breakthrough trend.

XRP's own conditions also remain. Daodu explained that XRP entered its first major cycle after consolidating for about 18 months from 2015 to 2017, and then rose from $0.50 to a peak in July 2025 after being suppressed for years under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit. He emphasized that three conditions worked together for past major surges: long base formation, a favorable regulatory environment, and a Bitcoin-led market.

In the current cycle, XRP is not deviating from the same logic. Daodu assessed that XRP has fallen 63% from its current high and is trapped in the $1.30 to $1.50 range for most of 2026. He also noted that it is awaiting regulatory catalysts from the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill and still relies more on individual investors than institutional funds through Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) activities. He suggested that the earliest these factors could align is around 2030.

Daodu did not conclude that the XRP $200 forecast is impossible. He believes that payment infrastructure, institutional partnerships, and regulatory frameworks are creating a structure that goes beyond price targets. However, he made it clear that for XRP to enter the $200 discussion, the overall cryptocurrency market expansion, a Bitcoin-led bull run, institutional fund inflow, regulatory clarity, and XRP's own base formation must be simultaneously met.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*